Introduction
Prognostication after cardiac arrest (CA) should be performed using a multimodal approach, including clinical assessment, neurophysiology, radiological investigations and biomarkers.
1.- Nolan J.P.
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European Resuscitation Council and European Society of Intensive Care Medicine guidelines 2021: post-resuscitation care.
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Is this patient dead, vegetative, or severely neurologically impaired? Assessing outcome for comatose survivors of cardiac arrest.
, 3.Early multimodal outcome prediction after cardiac arrest in patients treated with hypothermia.
The updated European Resuscitation Council (ERC)-European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM) guidelines recommend using neuron-specific enolase (NSE) as one component of multimodal prognostication.
1.- Nolan J.P.
- Sandroni C.
- Bottiger B.W.
- et al.
European Resuscitation Council and European Society of Intensive Care Medicine guidelines 2021: post-resuscitation care.
However, the recommended high NSE cut-off values that are necessary to achieve high specificity may result in low sensitivity in detecting patients with poor prognosis.
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Neuron-specific enolase and long-term neurological outcome after OHCA - a validation study.
, 5.Neuron specific enolase after cardiac arrest: from 33 to 60 to 100 to NFL?.
One example is the decreased prognostic accuracy in elderly patients and patients with a short time from collapse to return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC).
1.- Nolan J.P.
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European Resuscitation Council and European Society of Intensive Care Medicine guidelines 2021: post-resuscitation care.
NSE also has well-known sources of error, resulting in falsely elevated levels further weakening its prognostic accuracy.
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Neuron-specific enolase predicts poor outcome after cardiac arrest and targeted temperature management: a multicenter study on 1,053 pPatients.
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Serum concentration of NSE and S-100b during LVAD in non-resuscitated patients.
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Increased serum creatine kinase BB and neuron specific enolase following head injury indicates brain damage.
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A novel axonal biomarker, neurofilament light (NfL), can be measured in plasma with an ultrasensitive novel single molecule array (SIMOA) method.
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Comparison of three analytical platforms for quantification of the neurofilament light chain in blood samples: ELISA, electrochemiluminescence immunoassay and Simoa.
NfL demonstrated a very high capacity to predict unfavourable six-month outcome after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) with a presumed cardiac cause.
14.- Moseby-Knappe M.
- Mattsson N.
- Nielsen N.
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Serum neurofilament light chain for prognosis of outcome after cardiac arrest.
, 15.- Wihersaari L.
- Ashton N.J.
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COMACARE Study Group. Neurofilament light as an outcome predictor after cardiac arrest: a post hoc analysis of the COMACARE trial.
NfL also appeared to have the best ability among a group of neurobiomarkers, including NSE, to find patients with a favourable outcome despite the indeterminate prognosis given by examinations recommended in the ERC-ESICM guidelines.
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Serum markers of brain injury can predict good neurological outcome after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.
Before wider adoption, the utility and presumed superiority of NfL over NSE should be validated also in unselected CA populations. Accordingly, we analysed NfL concentrations and its prognostic capacity in an unselected OHCA population, including patients with shockable and non-shockable initial rhythms and resuscitated from different CA aetiologies. We hypothesised that NfL would be superior to NSE in predicting unfavourable long-term outcome in patients treated in the intensive care unit (ICU) following OHCA. The secondary hypothesis was that NfL would have better prognostic value in those patient subgroups (high age, short time from collapse to ROSC) where NSE has demonstrated poor prognostic accuracy.
Discussion
In this post-hoc analysis of OHCA patients resuscitated from various arrest aetiologies, NfL was significantly more accurate than NSE in predicting unfavourable 12-month outcome. The prognostic ability of NfL was already excellent at 24 hours after CA. The median concentrations for the patients with unfavourable outcome were about 20-fold greater than for those with favourable outcome. Importantly, NfL was also accurate in the patients resuscitated from a likely non-cardiac cause of arrest. We also found a less clear association between age and time to ROSC and predictive accuracy than we previously showed with NSE.
6.- Wihersaari L.
- Tiainen M.
- Skrifvars M.B.
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FINNRESUSCI study group. Usefulness of neuron specific enolase in prognostication after cardiac arrest: impact of age and time to ROSC.
As our sample presents heterogeneous OHCA patients, our findings support wider utilisation of NfL in clinical prognostication after CA.
The lack of wider adoption of NfL thus far may have been due to the unavailability of a commercial assay, but given the introduction of the ultrasensitive SIMOA method, this is likely to change.
However, few studies exist about prognostication after CA using the ultrasensitive SIMOA method. NfL measurement within the first 24 h after ROSC demonstrated an AUROC of 0.82 to predict in-hospital death.
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Serum neurofilament measurement improves clinical risk scores for outcome prediction after cardiac arrest: results of a prospective study.
In a Targeted Temperature Management (TTM) substudy including 782 OHCA patients with a likely cardiac aetiology of arrest, the AUROCs at 24–72 h to predict poor six-month outcome were 0.94–0.95.
14.- Moseby-Knappe M.
- Mattsson N.
- Nielsen N.
- et al.
Serum neurofilament light chain for prognosis of outcome after cardiac arrest.
In our study of OHCA patients with VF as the initial rhythm, the AUROCs were very high at 0.98.
15.- Wihersaari L.
- Ashton N.J.
- Reinikainen M.
- et al.
COMACARE Study Group. Neurofilament light as an outcome predictor after cardiac arrest: a post hoc analysis of the COMACARE trial.
The present study, including an unselected population with both shockable and non-shockable rhythms, found AUROCs to predict CPC 3–5 at 12 months of 0.88–0.90, demonstrating slightly worse but still excellent discriminative ability. Pouplet et al demonstrated AUROC of 0.87 to predict CPC 3–5 at 90 days after CA in patients with shockable rhythms using different but comparable commercial laboratory method.
23.Pouplet C, Colin G, Guichard E, et al. AfterROSC network. The accuracy of various neuro-prognostication algorithms and the added value of neurofilament light chain dosage for patients resuscitated from shockable cardiac arrest: an ancillary analysis of the ISOCRATE study. Resuscitation 2021:S0300-9572(21)00517-7. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resuscitation.2021.12.009. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34915084.
In Stammet et al.’s TTM substudy,
19.- Stammet P.
- Collignon O.
- Hassager C.
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TTM-Trial Investigators. Neuron-specific enolase as a predictor of death or poor neurological outcome after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest and targeted temperature management at 33°C and 36°C.
NSE had an AUROC of 0.85–0.86 at 48–72 h, and Streitberger et al. found an AUROC of 0.85–0.90 at 72 h.
7.- Streitberger K.J.
- Leithner C.
- Wattenberg M.
- et al.
Neuron-specific enolase predicts poor outcome after cardiac arrest and targeted temperature management: a multicenter study on 1,053 pPatients.
In summary, studies conducted to date suggest better accuracy for NfL compared to NSE.
14.- Moseby-Knappe M.
- Mattsson N.
- Nielsen N.
- et al.
Serum neurofilament light chain for prognosis of outcome after cardiac arrest.
, 15.- Wihersaari L.
- Ashton N.J.
- Reinikainen M.
- et al.
COMACARE Study Group. Neurofilament light as an outcome predictor after cardiac arrest: a post hoc analysis of the COMACARE trial.
We found a slightly lower discriminative ability, especially for NSE, than previously reported. The likeliest explanation is the inclusion of different types of CA patients in whom the reason for the unfavourable outcome may not only be due to post-cardiac arrest brain injury (PCABI), which is the most common cause of death after CA.
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- Sekhon M.
Brain injury after cardiac arrest: pathophysiology, treatment, and prognosis.
Clearly, NfL and NSE can only work for predicting death or poor outcome related to brain injury.
The levels of NSE for patients with unfavourable outcome were somewhat lower in this study compared to some previous studies. There are several possible explanations for this. Firstly, the laboratory methods used may be important.
25.- Stern P.
- Bartos V.
- Uhrova J.
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Performance characteristics of seven neuron-specific enolase assays.
Secondly, it is possible that the lower levels and prognostic ability of NSE seen in the present study compared to previous studies are related to differences in the definition of unfavourable outcome
7.- Streitberger K.J.
- Leithner C.
- Wattenberg M.
- et al.
Neuron-specific enolase predicts poor outcome after cardiac arrest and targeted temperature management: a multicenter study on 1,053 pPatients.
and follow-up time.
7.- Streitberger K.J.
- Leithner C.
- Wattenberg M.
- et al.
Neuron-specific enolase predicts poor outcome after cardiac arrest and targeted temperature management: a multicenter study on 1,053 pPatients.
, 19.- Stammet P.
- Collignon O.
- Hassager C.
- et al.
TTM-Trial Investigators. Neuron-specific enolase as a predictor of death or poor neurological outcome after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest and targeted temperature management at 33°C and 36°C.
Our secondary finding was that NfL’s prognostic ability was better than NSE in subgroups where the prognostic value of NSE was poor, such as the elderly and those with a shorter arrest duration. In our study, the NfL levels were higher in those with longer time from collapse to ROSC, and the accuracy was highest in those with the longest time to ROSC. However, even in the group with a short time to ROSC, the discriminative ability was satisfactory. This may suggest that NfL is more sensitive even in detecting milder hypoxic brain injury. Importantly, for patients with a short time from collapse to ROSC and patients aged ≥72 years, the prognostic value of NfL was superior to NSE. Increasing age is one confounding factor of NfL; the concentrations increase about 2% per year,
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Swiss Multiple Sclerosis Cohort Study Group. Serum neurofilament light: a biomarker of neuronal damage in multiple sclerosis.
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Serum neurofilament as a predictor of disease worsening and brain and spinal cord atrophy in multiple sclerosis.
and for individuals over 60 years of age, the variability of NfL levels increases.
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- Pirpamer L.
- Hofer E.
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Serum neurofilament light levels in normal aging and their association with morphologic brain changes.
We also found a rising trend of NfL levels in CPC 1–2 patients with increasing age. This finding may provide an additional explanation for the worse discriminative ability of NfL in the oldest patient group.
The ERC-ESICM guidelines recommend a 60 µg/L NSE cut-off.
1.- Nolan J.P.
- Sandroni C.
- Bottiger B.W.
- et al.
European Resuscitation Council and European Society of Intensive Care Medicine guidelines 2021: post-resuscitation care.
In this study, the 35 µg/L NSE cut-off at 48 h yielded 99% specificity but 37% sensitivity. Generally, demanding a very high specificity results in low sensitivity if the diagnostic method’s performance is insufficient.
Targeting specificities of 95% and 99%, the cut-off values for NfL at 24 h were 232 pg/mL and 589 pg/mL, respectively; the cut-off values for NfL at 48 h were 445 pg/mL and 721 pg/mL, respectively.
Those cut-off concentrations are comparable to corresponding values in a TTM substudy.
14.- Moseby-Knappe M.
- Mattsson N.
- Nielsen N.
- et al.
Serum neurofilament light chain for prognosis of outcome after cardiac arrest.
Lower NfL cut-off values with higher sensitivities were presented in our study of a highly selected population with shockable rhythms.
15.- Wihersaari L.
- Ashton N.J.
- Reinikainen M.
- et al.
COMACARE Study Group. Neurofilament light as an outcome predictor after cardiac arrest: a post hoc analysis of the COMACARE trial.
The Youden-based NfL cut-offs showed 72–82% sensitivities and 87–91% specificities. In this study population, NfL presented better sensitivity than NSE, even with clinically useful specificities. The combination of cut-offs of NfL and NSE for 95% specificity resulted in a 0.3% FPR.
Recent studies have raised the concern that there might be CA patients with potentially favourable outcome despite poor prognosis given by prognostic methods.
29.- Nakstad E.R.
- Stær-Jensen H.
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Late awakening, prognostic factors and long-term outcome in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest - results of the prospective Norwegian Cardio-Respiratory Arrest Study (NORCAST).
, 30.- Moseby-Knappe M.
- Westhall E.
- Backman S.
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Performance of a guideline-recommended algorithm for prognostication of poor neurological outcome after cardiac arrest.
Targeting 95% and 99% specificity to find patients with favourable outcome, the NfL cut-offs were 14–29 pg/mL, which are in the normal range. NSE demonstrated insufficient capacity to detect patients with favourable outcome
. NfL has a better ability than NSE to find patients with favourable outcome using normal or lower values.
Strengths and limitations
Our study has several strengths. It was a nationwide multicentre study with a large patient sample from many ICUs. Importantly, we included CA patients of various arrest aetiologies. The treating clinicians were blinded to the NfL results. Neurological outcome was defined by an experienced neurologist blinded to the biomarker results. However, some limitations exist. First, the original study is 10 years old, and prognostication and clinical care of resuscitated patients are likely to have changed. Second, our study population was selected by consent availability, and, consequently, the proportion of patients with bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation, shockable rhythm and TTM was significantly higher in those included than those excluded. Third, we do not have conclusive data on the patients’ cause of death or prognostication; the patients were managed according to protocols available at the time. Fourth, the numbers of patients in the subgroups were small.
Declaration of Competing Interest
The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
CRediT authorship contribution statement
L. Wihersaari: Writing – original draft, Formal analysis, Visualization, Software, Data curation. M. Reinikainen: Conceptualization, Methodology, Writing – original draft, Supervision. R. Furlan: Resources, Validation. A. Mandelli: Resources, Validation. J. Vaahersalo: Validation, Investigation. J. Kurola: Validation, Conceptualization. M. Tiainen: Validation, Investigation. V. Pettilä: Validation, Supervision. S. Bendel: Validation, Supervision. T. Varpula: Validation, Conceptualization. R. Latini: Resources, Validation. G. Ristagno: Resources, Validation. MB. Skrifvars: Writing – original draft, Conceptualization, Methodology, Project administration, Supervision.
Acknowledgements
The manuscript writing was funded by a grant from Finska Läkaresällskapet. The authors thank biostatistician Tuomas Selander, MSc, for helping with the statistical analyses.
The FINNRESUSCI Study Group: Satakunta Central Hospital, Dr. Vesa Lund, Päivi Tuominen, Satu Johansson, Pauliina Perkola, Elina Kumpulainen; East Savo Central Hospital, Dr. Markku Suvela, Sari Hirvonen, Sirpa Kauppinen; Central Finland Central Hospital, Dr. Raili Laru-Sompa, Mikko Reilama; South Savo Central Hospital, Dr. Heikki Laine, Pekka Kettunen, Iina Smolander; North Karelia Central Hospital, Dr. Matti Reinikainen, Tero Surakka; Seinäjoki Central Hospital, Dr. Kari Saarinen, Pauliina Lähdeaho, Johanna Soini; South Carelia Central Hospital, Dr. Seppo Hovilehto; Päijät-Häme Central Hospital, Dr. Pekka Loisa, Alli Parviainen, Pirjo Tuomi; Vaasa Central Hospital, Dr. Simo-Pekka Koivisto, Dr. Raku Hautamäki; Kanta-Häme Central Hospital, Dr. Ari Alaspää, Tarja Heikkilä; Lappi Central Hospital, Dr. Outi Kiviniemi, Esa Lintula; Keski-Pohjanmaa Central Hospital, Dr. Tadeusz Kaminski, Jane Roiko; Kymenlaakso Central Hospital, Dr. Seija Alila, Dr. Jussi Pentti, Reija Koskinen; Länsi-Pohja Central Hospital, Dr. Jorma Heikkinen; Helsinki University Hospital, Jorvi Hospital, Dr. Jukka Vaahersalo, Dr. Tuomas Oksanen, Dr. Tero Varpula, Anne Eronen, Teemu Hult, Taina Nieminen; Meilahti Hospital Medical ICU, Dr. Tom Bäcklund, Leevi Kauhanen; Meilahti Hospital ICU, Dr. Kirsi-Maija Kaukonen, Dr. Ville Pettilä, Leena Pettilä, Sari Sutinen; Turku University Hospital, Dr. Juha Perttilä, Keijo Leivo; Tampere University Hospital, Dr. Sanna Hoppu, Dr. Jyrki Tenhunen, Dr. Sari Karlsson, Atte Kukkurainen, Simo Varila, Samuli Kortelainen, Minna-Liisa Peltola; Kuopio University Hospital, Dr. Pamela Hiltunen, Dr. Jouni Kurola, Dr. Esko Ruokonen, Elina Halonen, Saija Rissanen, Sari Rahikainen; Oulu University Hospital, Dr. Risto Ahola, Dr. Tero Ala-Kokko, Sinikka Sälkiö.
Article info
Publication history
Published online: February 28, 2022
Accepted:
February 24,
2022
Received in revised form:
February 22,
2022
Received:
January 13,
2022
Footnotes
☆Some results were presented as abstracts at the 34th ESICM LIVES Digital Annual Congress, 3–6 October 2021 and at Operatiiviset Päivät 17–19 November 2021, Helsinki, Finland.
Copyright
© 2022 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.