Abstract
Background
There are 20,000 sudden cardiac arrests (SCAs) in Australia annually, with 90% case-fatality.
Objective
The present study calculated both the health and economic impact of SCAs in Victoria,
Australia.
Methods
Data on all SCAs attended by Ambulance Victoria from July 2017 to June 2018 were collected
regarding age, gender, and survival to hospital, discharge and 12 months. Pre-SCA
employment status of all patients was modelled using age and gender-matched Australian
economic data. A Markov state-transition model with a five-year horizon calculated
health and economic impact in years of life lived (YLL), productivity-adjusted life
years (PALYs) and gross domestic product (GDP) lost. A counterfactual Markov state-transition
model assessed outcomes of an identical cohort of patients who did not experience
SCA. All values were discounted by 5%.
Results
In 12 months, 4637 people suffered SCAs in Victoria, of whom 1516 (32.7%) were working
at the time. 695 patients (15.0%) survived to hospital, 325 (7.0%) to discharge, and
303 (6.5%) to 12 months. In five years following their SCA, the cohort lost 15,922
years of life and 2327 PALYs. Reduced productivity led to GDP losses of AUD$448 million
(92.8% relative reduction). Extrapolated to the 20,000 SCAs occurring across all of
Australia, total GDP losses approached AUD$2 billion.
Conclusion
The health and economic burden of SCAs is high, predominantly underpinned by very
high mortality. Annual national losses approach AUD$2 billion (USD$1.42 billion) and
are comparable to productivity losses from all cancers combined. Prioritising research
and state-of-the-art care for SCA patients appears economically sound.
Keywords
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Article info
Publication history
Published online: April 15, 2021
Accepted:
April 1,
2021
Received in revised form:
February 15,
2021
Received:
November 29,
2020
Identification
Copyright
Crown Copyright © 2021 Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.